Last day of election campaigning
- Bulletin:What you need to know this evening
- Labour on course for biggest majority since 1832 - poll
- Tory candidate would 'bite your hand off' for projected result
- Big names who could lose seats|Check projection where you live
- Sam Coates:This is bleak for the Tories
- Sky News Daily:Stories from the battle buses
- Live reporting by Ben Blochand Bhvishya Patel
Election essentials
- Manifesto pledges:Conservatives|Greens|Labour|Lib Dems|Plaid|Reform|SNP
- Trackers:Who's leading polls?|Is PM keeping promises?
- Follow Sky's politics podcasts:Electoral Dysfunction|Politics At Jack And Sam's
- Read more:Who is standing down?|Key seats to watch|What counts as voter ID?|Check if your constituency is changing|Guide to election lingo
- How to watch election on Sky News
It's time for your evening bulletin as the final day of the election campaign nears its climax.
Here's what you need to know:
- Labour are on course for the biggest majority achieved by any British political party since 1832, according to a new YouGov poll;
- Sir Keir Starmer's party are tipped to win 431 seats, with the Tories way behind with 102;
- Among the Conservative heavyweights set to lose out are a former leader, Iain Duncan Smith, and Chancellor Jeremy Hunt;
- Our deputy political editor Sam Coates says the Tories could be facing an "extinction-level event", with some within the party fearful the result on Thursday could be "even worse";
- You can check the projected result where you live below:
- The big breaking news before YouGov's poll was The Sun endorsing the Labour Party for the first time since 2005;
- Our chief political correspondent Jon Craig said while newspaper endorsem*nts aren't as significant as they once were, it's still a "big boost".
- Rishi Sunak insists he hasn't given up on the Tories' election hopes, though his most headline-making appearance today was on ITV's This Morning, where he said sandwiches were his favourite food;
- Lib Dem leader Sir Ed Davey has enjoyed his final day of campaigning, beginning with a tractor race and ending it by driving away in a hot pink Cadillac car;
- Reform's Nigel Farage has also been out and about today, and admitted he would "think about" resigning if he doesn't become an MP for the first time;
- And the Green co-leader Carla Denyer is eyeing up what would be a huge win over in Bristol Central, where Labour's Thangham Debbonaire is under pressure and expressed concerns over delays to postal votes;
- Other candidates there are Reform's Robert Clarke, the Lib Dem Nicholas Coombes, Kellie-Jay Keen from the Party of Women, and Samuel Williams from the Conservatives.
Politics Hub With Sophy Ridge will be live from 7pm - the final instalment before the election.
On Sophy's panel tonight are Sky's elections commentator Adam Boulton, the SNP's deputy Westminster leader Mhairi Black, and former Tory minister Ed Vaizey.
We'll also be joined by Conservative food and farming minister Mark Spencerand Labour's shadow minister Nick Thomas-Symonds.
Riven with resignation: What it was like on the final day with the Tory campaign
By Darren McCaffrey, political correspondent
On a slightly damp afternoon, in a summer so far marked by disappointing weather, the Conservative campaign bus pulled into a primary school in rural Hampshire today.
A smattering of Lib Dem activists (I counted five) had bothered to turn up to protest the against the prime minister. I say protest - it was actually to gloat, and even then through mild bemusem*nt rather than anger.
They knew the game was up. It felt like everyone knew the game was up.
I mean a campaign stop with five-year-olds the day before the election seemed a little pointless.
It was a day riven with resignation.
Earlier, the work and pensions secretary had essentially conceded, talking about a future Labour government, pleading to voters not to give Sir Keir Starmer a "supermajority".
The next stop was a campaign visit in a seat the Tories might actually hold - though that has been a feature of the entire campaign.
Almost exclusively, we've only been in seats with Rishi Sunak that should have traditionally been ultra Conservative. Village pubs, farm shops, garden centres and large homes have been ubiquitous.
The last stop is one final campaign rally tonight, with maybe a hundred people - we've been told not to expect any surprises.
That in itself is hardly a surprise.
The Conservative campaign started in a very wet Downing Street, it ends in the drizzle in Southampton.
It has simply petered out.
ABBA, pyrotechnics and a pink Cadillac see out Davey's memorable campaign
With ABBA's Take A Chance On Me blasting across a field in Hertfordshire, Sir Ed Davey arrived in the Liberal Democrats' battle bus for what was billed as the last big stunt of his campaign.
Whether his antics have cut through, we will find out tomorrow, but he certainly can't be faulted for enthusiasm.
Yellow confetti exploded as Sir Ed left the bus with both hands waving in the air, laughing and smiling in front of his supporters.
"This is it. Tomorrow we have the chance to win the change our country desperately needs," he said.
"After so many years of being let down, taken for granted by this out-of-touch Conservative government, this is a chance to vote for something different."
Sir Ed continued: "You may have noticed that I've quite enjoyed this campaign."
The leader said he has travelled 6,000 miles, visited 50 constituencies and bungee jumped 160ft, to cheers from the crowd.
Pyrotechnics were ignited as he came to the end of his speech, before he ditched the orange theme for the backseat of a pink Cadillac and made his exit, waving to the crowd.
Sky News Daily: Stories from the election battle buses
On the final day of campaigning, the Sky News correspondents who have followed party leaders to every corner of the UK reflect on the key moments.
From kayaking photo opportunities to people who bet against their own election chances - they tell Niall Paterson how the stories have cut through and the impact they could have on polling day.
Joining Niall are our political correspondents - Darren McCaffrey with the Conservatives, Serena Barker-Singh on the Labour bus, Matthew Thompson following the Liberal Democrats, Gurpreet Narwan from the Reform trail, andConnor Gillies with the Scottish National Party.
Tory candidate would 'bite your hand off' for poll's projected result - yes, really
A Tory has told ourdeputy political editorSam Coatesthey'd "bite your hand off" for the result projected by YouGov's latest poll.
That's right - a Conservative candidate thinks the real result in the election could be "even worse" than the historic defeat being projected for the party this evening.
Sam says some within the Tory party reckon they could end up with under 100 seats, which would be an "extinction-level event".
It's clear, he adds, that Rishi Sunak's "gamble has failed".
He notes this is a projection and so "there is a range of uncertainty and error", with about 89 seats "very close to call", but it still represents a "disaster" for the prime minister.
Sam adds: "You have the highest number of seats for Labour since records began and the lowest number of seats for the Conservatives.
"You have to go back to the 19th century in order to find anything as big as that."
Which party could win in your constituency after final YouGov poll?
The last major YouGov poll before the general election puts Labour on course for a major victory, scooping up 431 seats and a majority of 212.
It would be the greatest number of seats in the party's history, surpassing even the 419 won under Tony Blair in the 1997 Labour landslide.
If this and other similar polls are accurate, it suggests the Tories' share of seats will plummet - from the 365 they won in 2019 to 102 this time around.
Ed Davey's Liberal Democrats are projected to get 72 seats, higher than their previous peak of 62 in 2005 under Charles Kennedy.
Use our tool below to check which party would win in your constituency if the YouGov projection is right:
Pollster YouGov interviewed 42,758 GB voters from 19 June to 2 July.
Who are the big names who could lose their seats?
With the polls pointing to a massive win for Labour, a YouGov projection suggests a significant number of prominent politicians are set to lose their seats.
Among them are…
Jeremy Hunt
The chancellor is tipped to lose his Godalming and Ash seat to the Liberal Democrats.
In 2019, he had a majority of 8,817 in South West Surrey over the Liberal Democrats.
Other candidates in Godalming and Ash are Paul Follows for the Liberal Democrats, James Walsh for Labour, Ruby Tucker for the Green Party and Reform's Graham Drage.
Grant Shapps
The defence secretary isprojected to lose Welwyn Hatfield to Labour.
In the general election of December 2019, Mr Shapps was re-elected with 53% of the vote, and a majority of 10,955.
He will be up against Labour's Andrew Lewin, John Munro for the Liberal Democrats, Sarah Butcher for the Green Party and Jack Aaron for Reform UK.
Penny Mordaunt
The Commons leader couldlose Portsmouth North to Labour.
In 2019, she got 61.4% of the vote and a majority of 28,172.
This election she faces Labour's Amanda Martin, Simon Dodd from the Liberal Democrats, the Green Party's Duncan Robinson and Reform UK's Melvyn Todd.
Richard Holden
The Tory party chair could lose in Basildon and Billericay to Reform.
He was chosen to be the Conservatives' parliamentary candidate in Basildon and Billericay last month, after being the only candidate on the party's list.
He was previously the MP for North West Durham - some 300 miles away.
The Labour candidate for Basildon and Billericay is Alex Harrison, the Liberal Democrats have Edward Sainsbury, Stephen Conlay is standing for Reform, Christopher Bateman for the British Democratic Party, Stewart Goshawk for the Greens, and Dave Murray for the Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition.
Thangam Debbonaire
The shadow secretary for culture, media and sport could be the only member of Sir Keir Starmer's cabinet team to lose her seat.
Her Bristol Central seat could potentially go to the Green Party's Carla Denyer.
The other candidates there are Reform's Robert Clarke, Nicholas Coombes for the Lib Dems, Kellie-Jay Keen for the Party of Women, and Samuel Williams for the Tories.
Iain Duncan Smith
The former Tory leader won Chingford and Woodford with a 1,262 majority in 2019.
His main challenger is Labour's Shama Tatler.
He also faces Josh Hadley from the Liberal Democrats, independent Faiza Shaheen (who was dropped by Labour), the Green Party's Chris Brody and Reform UK's Paul Luggeri.
This is bleak for the Tories
YouGov's final election poll for Sky News (see previous post) paints a bleak national picture for the Tories.
They would become a party predominantly of the South East, South West and East of England.
They would face near wipe out in the North East, North West and Wales, areas where Boris Johnson fared much better.
The YouGov projection implies vote shares of Labour on 39%, Conservatives on 22%, Reform on 15%, Liberal Democrats on 12%, Greens on 7%, SNP on 3%, Plaid on 1%, and others on 2%, near identical from the previous YouGov MRP two weeks ago.
The YouGov projection suggests a significant number of the Tories most prominent politicians are set to lose their seats.
Of the 16 cabinet ministers, this includes Chancellor Jeremy Hunt in Godalming and Ash, who is projected to lose to the Liberal Democrats; and Grant Shapps, the defence secretary and potential leadership contender in Welwyn Hatfield, who could lose to Labour.
There is also Richard Holden, the Tory party chair who could lose in Basildon and Billericay, also to Labour; and Penny Mordaunt, leader of the Commons, another leadership contender who could again lose Portsmouth North to Labour.
Labour's Thangam Debbonaire could be the only member of the Starmer cabinet team to lose their seat, with her Bristol Central seat potentially going to the Greens.
Labour on course for biggest majority since 1832, says YouGov's final poll
Labour is on course for landslide victory in Thursday's election with a 212-seat majority, according to YouGov's final MRP poll.
Sir Keir Starmer's party is set for 431 seats, beating the 419 won in 1997 and the highest number in its history.
It's also more than double the 202 Labour won in 2019, and It would give them the biggest majority for any single party since 1832.
The Tories are projected to win just 102 - down more than two-thirds on how many they secured under Boris Johnson last time out.
It's also way down on the 165 they won in 1997, when they lost to a landslide win for Tony Blair.
Among the big name Conservatives set to lose their seats are former party leader Iain Duncan Smith and Chancellor Jeremy Hunt.
The total seat counts for the main parties are:
- Labour - 431
- Conservatives - 102
- Lib Dems - 72
- SNP - 18
- Reform - three
- Greens - two
Under the pollster’s margin of error, Labour's seat count could range from 391 to 466 and the Tories from 78 to 129.
The Lib Dems could range from 57 to 87, while the SNP range from eight to 34, Reform from zero to 14, Greens one to four, and Plaid one to four.
The pollster interviewed 42,758 voters from 19 June to 2 July.
Starmer welcomes support of The Sun
Newspaper endorsem*nts don't have the impact they once had, but this afternoon's announcement from The Sun that it would back Labour is certainly symbolic.
It makes Sir Keir Starmer the party's first leader to earn the tabloid's support since Tony Blair in 2005.
Sir Keir has welcomed the news, saying: "I'm delighted to have the support and the backing of The Sun.
"I think that shows just how much this is a changed Labour Party back in the service of working people."
